Hot Stove Update

by Texy
2007 November 30 at 4:46 pm
SANTANA! SANTANA! SANTANA! It seems to be all Santana talk, all the time around the Red Sox hot stove lately. So let’s jump in and take a look at what all is going on with Santana… and also with the guys on the team and other trade possibilities not named Johan Santana

There is no doubt Santana is being shopped, and there is no doubt the Red Sox are interested- but there have been conflicting reports about which Sox players are on potentially on the table– and who, if anyone, is considered an “untouchable”. The big three of concern are Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz and Jacoby Ellsbury. Although SI reported earlier in the week that Jacoby Ellsbury was untouchable, this information has been disputed by the Herald, the Globe… and by Theo himself.

There are no untouchables,” Epstein said. “If there’s an opportunity to get better, we’ll do it. We believe in those guys. Their value to us is legitimate. We’re not eager to get rid of them.”

However, even if there are no untouchables, the current position of the Sox is that while Lester, Buchholz and Ellsbury are all potentials, they would only trade ONE of that group in any one deal. The potential swap package getting the most ink this week is Jon Lester, Coco Crisp, Jed Lowrie and Justin Masterson/Michael Bowden.

A major factor to be taken into account is Santana’s no-trade clause. He has complete control over where he ends up- and reports are that he will not consider waiving that full no-trade clause unless his new team grants him a contract extension. Reportedly, Santana will be looking for something in the range of $20 million-$25 million annually over 5-7 seasons. So, even after working out a deal with the Twins, the Sox would still need to work out a deal with Santana himself before any trade could be completed- so it’s not going to be a quick process.

What do the current Sox think about the possibility of Santana in home whites? Jonathan Papelbon and Curt Schilling both expressed excitement at the prospect- and Papelbon in particular said on WEEI this morning that he was in favor of a Lester-Crisp-Lowrie-Masterson package (but thought the team needed to keep Ellsbury).

I like it (the Lester-Crisp-Lowrie-Masterson package). Here’s how you gotta look at it, it’s simple, you put together a team to try to win a championship every offseason right? OK, if you can do that, and obtain a guy that could help you do that, which you know he can help do that, you do it. Yes, you do have a lot of faith in these young kids, but whoever may be in the equation as a young kid, you don’t know what they’re gonna do at a big-league level. You don’t know if they’re capable of being on a championship club. You know that with Santana.

And Curt Schilling is just as thrilled at the prospect of adding Santana to the Sox rotation:

Cool. The thought of (Sox ace Josh) Beckett and Santana coming out and matching up with somebody is impressive. It’s exciting. I know that if he’s on the market like people say he is, I promise (GM Theo Epstein has) talked to them and he’s going to measure the price tag. We’re not in a win-it-now mode – that’s our mode every year. We’re not operating out of our element. He’s not going to sacrifice the future.

Another Sox player who would be pleased to see the trade go through with Coco Crisp headed to Minnesota is Bobby Kielty, who is very realistic when assessing his place on the team. Kielty is a classic fourth outfielder, and with Crisp and Ellsbury both on the team, he doesn’t really have a place– but if Coco is gone, that vacates a slot that he can fill. “I really need to play in the best situation,” Kielty said. “With Coco not there, it is a very good situation for me in terms of playing time. . . . But with Coco there, it’s not an ideal situation for me.” Bobby has been contacted by three National League teams, but is waiting to see if there’s a place for him in Boston before moving on to other opportunities.

Jon Lester is most assuredly not as excited about the possibility of a Santana trade, as it would most likely signal the end of his days in a Sox uni. Jon was asked about the trade rumors swirling around him:

“Until [general manager Theo Epstein] calls me, I don’t worry about it,” Lester said Wednesday. “If it happens, it’s something I will have to deal with at that point. Most of the time, it’s just speculation. Dan Haren and Johan Santana, that’s not bad. Those are two great pitchers to have your name involved with in a trade, but I want to be here for a long time and win more World Series.”

Theo Epstein indicated that the likelihood of hearing news on a trade before Winter Meetings start on Monday, involving Santana or otherwise, is slim — but that the front office is working on things behind the scenes.

“We have nothing to announce,” Theo said. “Nothing imminent. We’re going to keep on working right up until the meetings, but if I had to guess I would say probably nothing to announce before the meetings. Just because we’re focused on [the bench and the bullpen] doesn’t mean we’re not going to look at other opportunities to get better,” he said. “We’ll see if anything presents itself and we’ll be aggressive as we usually are . . . We’re pleased with the position we are in. We think we have a really nice mix of veterans and young players at the big-league level, and another wave or two of talented young players coming through our farm system who should make an impact.”

And in news not involving Johan Santana…

The deadline to offer arbitration to former players who are free agents is tomorrow, December 1st. That means the Red Sox will have until midnight tomorrow to offer arbitration to free agents Eric Gagne and Mike Timlin (the Type B free agents), as well as Matt Clement, Bobby Kielty, Eric Hinske and Doug Mirabelli. The Boston Herald reported that the Sox will “most likely” offer arbitration to TImlin and Gagne, and though no one seems to have an idea what Timlin’s planning to do, reportedly Eric Gagne would accept the offer if extended. Since both are Type B free agents, if either one chooses to sign with another team rather than accept arbitration, the Sox would receive a compensatory draft pick from the new signing team.

Additionally, the Sox can have four 3+ year veterans eligible for arbitration: Brendan Donnelly, Javier Lopez, Kyle Snyder and Kevin Youkilis — although I have not seen or heard any news about the likelihood of any of them not working out agreement on a contract before the December 12th deadline. I put together an Arbitration Primer a couple of weeks ago, check that out for more details on what arbitration is and how it works.

The Sox signed Lee Gronkiewicz, a 29 year-old free agent minor league relief pitcher, to a contract earlier in the week. Gronk is a California native, who played college ball for South Carolina, and also played on this year’s USA Baseball World Cup Team. Here’s a great (and funny) profile on Gronk by some Jays fans written up earlier in the month.

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14 Responses leave one →
  1. 2007 November 30 at 5:34 pm
    Rachel C permalink

    huh? You said: “That means the Red Sox will have until midnight tomorrow to offer arbitration to free agents Eric Gagne and Mike Timlin (the Type B free agents)”

    But in your Arbitration Primer you state that Type B are Super Two Players…and clearly neither of those fellas fall into that category.

    I’m confused

  2. 2007 November 30 at 5:42 pm

    Nope- “Type B” is an official, more or less, baseball term to distinguish amongst free agents who result in compensatory picks. Type A free agents signed by other clubs give their old clubs two draft picks; Type B free agents give their clubs one draft pick. Schilling and Lowell both would have been Type A, had they not be re-signed; Gagne and Timlin are both Type B.

    All free agents fall into the group C that I talked about in the primer- if you’ll check, you’ll see I purposely never called the groups Type A, Type B and Type C- I called them “group A”, “group B” and “group C” — for just that reason, to avoid confusion with the free agent classifications.

    When you see “Type A” or “Type B” capitalized like that, in connection with free agents, it is always referring to their classification in relation to compensatory draft picks.

    Hope that helps!

  3. 2007 November 30 at 7:59 pm
    Twinkie permalink

    You don’t think the Twins would be interested in Gagne-Crisp-Lowrie-Masterson, do you? :P

    I really wish we could keep everyone from this season. Except Gagne. It’d be great to get Santana, but I’m sad at the thought of losing Lester or Buchholz or Ellsbury.

  4. 2007 December 1 at 12:19 am
    JoshRocks permalink

    Papelbon and Schilling should just shut up about trade rumors. What a way to sell out poor John Lester.
    Sorry but saying something like “Having Santana would be great” is one thing. Mentioning players involved and selling out your teammate sucks

  5. 2007 December 1 at 4:14 am

    I don’t consider it selling out anyone- Schilling never mentioned any one or any trade by name. Papelbon was asked if a specific trade made sense to him– he wasn’t asked who he would give up for Santana, and then volunteered the names himself. I think all of these guys are cognizant that (1) it’s just business, and (2) their roster of teammates can change at any moment.

  6. 2007 December 1 at 8:56 am
    starr4 permalink

    Recent Sox history patterns like” if they’re all talking about a trade, then it’s not the one that’s going to happen.”

  7. 2007 December 1 at 2:49 pm
    JoshRocks permalink

    He sold out his teammate anyway you slice it. What happens now if the trade doesn’t happen?
    Sorry but Papelbon should be ashamed of himself. He is a horrible teammate. How he could name names at all is pathetic.

  8. 2007 December 1 at 2:50 pm

    I suppose we shall have to agree to disagree on this one.

  9. 2007 December 1 at 5:13 pm
    Lyndsay permalink

    “The Boston Herald reported that the Sox will “most likely” offer arbitration to TImlin and Gagne, and though no one seems to have an idea what Timlin’s planning to do, reportedly Eric Gagne would accept the offer if extended.”

    are you f-ing kidding me? didn’t Theo sit down with Scott Boras a month ago to explain that he didn’t think Gagne was “a good fit” for the bullpen. it sounds like he’s being canned. unless Theo is keeping in order to “sell high” on future deals. right now no one wants Gagne b/c of what they’ve seen of him in the past few months, but perhaps Theo is thinking of keeping him to raise his stock a little. that’s the only reeason I can see for them keeping him at this point…

  10. 2007 December 1 at 5:15 pm
    Lyndsay permalink

    I think any speculation on who Theo might or might not trade at this point is exactly that. it’s all poker face until the deal is done. why would he reveal his hand in the media for Steinbrenner to scopp right up?

  11. 2007 December 1 at 5:18 pm
    Lyndsay permalink

    “Yes, you do have a lot of faith in these young kids, but whoever may be in the equation as a young kid, you don’t know what they’re gonna do at a big-league level”

    it’s like Papelbon doesn’t even realize that he’s talking about HIMSELF. it’s not like he’s a vet yet. what a lack of self-awareness there. wasn’t Lester drafted before him??

  12. 2007 December 2 at 12:00 am
    Margaret permalink

    I can see how his comments could be construed as being mean to Lester (or even Coco, in a stretch), but…

    I think Papelbon was talking more about the inclusion of prospects than about Lester in a deal for Santana–about why you’d trade several of one type of player for one of another. Was he articulate in what he said, choosing words carefully to avoid anyone taking offense? Absolutely not. But he’s Paps, and we all know that isn’t his strength.

    I’m also giving him the benefit of the doubt here because it would be so totally out of character for him (or any of them) to throw Lester under the bus in that direct a manner.

    As for Gagne, I’m really confused too, because I remember how hilarious that “not a good fit with the bullpen” quote was.

    Great news about Timlin though.

    I’m kinda ready for this Santana business to be done. I’ve heard every single analysis over and over at this point and I’m tired of waiting. What a pain.

    (cranky up late on Sat night working…)

  13. 2007 December 2 at 5:00 am

    Lyndsay- Every piece of information that is leaked to the public is, 95% of the time, a controlled leak put out there by a front office or a player’s management team for a specific purpose. Like you said, if something is leaking out, there’s no way to tell if it’s straight truth, or “truth” colored by one side or the other to gain the upper hand in negotiations.

  14. 2007 December 2 at 5:02 am

    And, yes- I thought it was fairly self-evident that when talking about the “prospects”, Papelbon was talking about the Lowrie/Masterson/Bowden part of the picture. Buchholz and Ellsbury are still considered “prospects” — but Lester is not a prospect any more, so when Papelbon (or anyone else) refers to a “prospect”, by definition he cannot be referring to Lester.